Publications
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| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
2024
- Lenton T, Ritchie P, Boulton C. (2024) Are early warning signals present for climate tipping points detected in CMIP6?  , DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11464. [PDF]
- Boulton C, Buxton J, Lenton T. (2024) Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK’s second-hand electric vehicle market, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15331. [PDF]
- Arellano Nava B, Halloran PR, Boulton CA, Lenton TM. (2024) Clams reveal the North Atlantic subpolar gyre has destabilised over recent decades, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20891. [PDF]
- Doyle E, Boulton C, Graham H, Lenton T, Feldpausch T, Cunliffe A. (2024) Assessing the accuracy of GEDI for mapping resilience in the Amazon rainforest along a gradient of disturbance to recovery , DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18581. [PDF]
- Lenton TM, Abrams JF, Bartsch A, Bathiany S, Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Conversi A, Cunliffe AM, Hebden S, Lavergne T. (2024) Publisher Correction: Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales, Nature Communications, volume 15, no. 1, article no. 1917, DOI:10.1038/s41467-024-45881-0. [PDF]
- Lenton TM, Abrams JF, Bartsch A, Bathiany S, Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Conversi A, Cunliffe AM, Hebden S, Lavergne T. (2024) Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales, Nat Commun, volume 15, no. 1, DOI:10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w. [PDF]
2023
- Abrams JF, Huntingford C, Williamson MS, Armstrong McKay DI, Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Sakschewski B, Loriani S, Zimm C, Winkelmann R. (2023) Committed Global Warming Risks Triggering Multiple Climate Tipping Points, Earth's Future, volume 11, no. 11, DOI:10.1029/2022ef003250. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Lenton TM, Boers N. (2023) Reply to: Little evidence that Amazonian rainforests are approaching a tipping point, Nature Climate Change, volume 13, no. 12, pages 1321-1323, DOI:10.1038/s41558-023-01854-7. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Lenton TM. (2023) Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK’s second-hand electric vehicle market, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2234. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Lenton TM. (2023) Supplementary material to "Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK’s second-hand electric vehicle market", DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2234-supplement. [PDF]
- Dakos V, Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Abrams JF, Armstrong McKay DI, Bathiany S, Blaschke L, Boers N, Dylewsky D, López-Martínez C. (2023) Supplementary material to "Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems", DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773-supplement. [PDF]
- Dakos V, Boulton CA, Buxton JE, Abrams JF, Armstrong McKay DI, Bathiany S, Blaschke L, Boers N, Dylewsky D, López-Martínez C. (2023) Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773. [PDF]
- Buxton JE, Boulton CA, Mercure J-F, Lam A, Lenton TM. (2023) Indicators of changing resilience and potential tipping points in the automotive industry, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu23-17457. [PDF]
- Smith T, Zotta R-M, Boulton CA, Lenton TM, Dorigo W, Boers N. (2023) Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series, Earth System Dynamics, volume 14, no. 1, pages 173-183, DOI:10.5194/esd-14-173-2023. [PDF]
2022
- Smith T, Zotta R-M, Boulton CA, Lenton TM, Dorigo W, Boers N. (2022) Reliability of Resilience Estimation based on Multi-Instrument Time Series, DOI:10.5194/esd-2022-41. [PDF]
- Smith T, Zotta R-M, Boulton CA, Lenton TM, Dorigo W, Boers N. (2022) Supplementary material to "Reliability of Resilience Estimation based on Multi-Instrument Time Series", DOI:10.5194/esd-2022-41-supplement. [PDF]
- Arellano-Nava B, Halloran PR, Boulton CA, Scourse J, Butler PG, Reynolds DJ, Lenton TM. (2022) Destabilisation of the Subpolar North Atlantic prior to the Little Ice Age, Nature Communications, volume 13, no. 1, article no. 5008, DOI:10.1038/s41467-022-32653-x. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Lenton TM, Boers N. (2022) Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s, Nature Climate Change, volume 12, no. 3, pages 271-278, DOI:10.1038/s41558-022-01287-8. [PDF]
- Buxton JE, Abrams JF, Boulton CA, Barlow N, Rangel Smith C, Van Stroud S, Lees KJ, Lenton TM. (2022) Quantitatively monitoring the resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel, Glob Chang Biol, volume 28, no. 2, pages 571-587, DOI:10.1111/gcb.15939. [PDF]
2021
- Boulton CA. (2021) Looking to the (far) future of climate projection, Global Change Biology, volume 28, no. 2, pages 346-348, DOI:10.1111/gcb.15936. [PDF]
- Martin K, Schmidt K, Toseland A, Boulton CA, Barry K, Beszteri B, Brussaard CPD, Clum A, Daum CG, Eloe-Fadrosh E. (2021) The biogeographic differentiation of algal microbiomes in the upper ocean from pole to pole, Nature Communications, volume 12, no. 1, article no. 5483, DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-25646-9. [PDF]
- Boulton C, Lenton T, Boers N. (2021) Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s, DOI:10.21203/rs.3.rs-379902/v1. [PDF]
- Buxton J, Powell T, Ambler J, Boulton C, Nicholson A, Arthur R, Lees K, Williams H, Lenton T. (2021) Community-driven tree planting greens the neighbouring landscape, DOI:10.21203/rs.3.rs-334324/v1. [PDF]
- Arellano Nava B, Halloran PR, Boulton CA, Lenton TM. (2021) Bivalves indicate that the North Atlantic was under stress before the onset of the Little Ice Age, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-16401. [PDF]
- Boulton C, Lenton T, Boers N. (2021) Loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2286. [PDF]
2020
- Boulton CA, Ritchie PDL, Lenton TM. (2020) Abrupt changes in Great Britain vegetation carbon projected under climate change, Global Change Biology, volume 26, no. 8, pages 4436-4448, DOI:10.1111/gcb.15144. [PDF]
- Ritchie P, Smith G, Davis K, Fezzi C, Halleck-Vega S, Harper A, Boulton C, Binner A, Day B, Gallego-Sala A. (2020) Shifts in national land use and food production in Great Britain after a climate tipping point, Nature Food, volume 1, pages 76-83, DOI:10.1038/s43016-019-0011-3. [PDF]
2019
- Boulton CA, Hughes E, Kent C, Smith JR, Williams HTP. (2019) Student engagement and wellbeing over time at a higher education institution, PLoS One, volume 14, no. 11, DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0225770. [PDF]
- Ritchie PDL, Harper AB, Smith GS, Kahana R, Kendon EJ, Lewis H, Fezzi C, Halleck-Vega S, Boulton CA, Bateman IJ. (2019) Large changes in Great Britain’s vegetation and agricultural land-use predicted under unmitigated climate change, Environmental Research Letters, volume 14, no. 11, pages 114012-114012, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/ab492b. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Lenton TM. (2019) A new method for detecting abrupt shifts in time series, F1000Research, volume 8, pages 746-746, DOI:10.12688/f1000research.19310.1. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Belcher CM. (2019) A novel approach for predicting the probability of ignition of palaeofires using fossil leaf assemblages, Palaeontology, volume 62, no. 5, pages 715-730, DOI:10.1111/pala.12417.
2017
- Boulton CA, Booth BBB, Good P. (2017) Exploring uncertainty of Amazon dieback in a perturbed parameter Earth system ensemble, Global Change Biology, volume 23, no. 12, pages 5032-5044, DOI:10.1111/gcb.13733.
- Kent C, Boulton CA, Williams H. (2017) Towards measurement of the relationship between student engagement and learning outcomes at a bricks-and-mortar university, CEUR Workshop Proceedings, volume 1828, pages 4-14.
2016
- Boulton CA, Shotton H, Williams HTP. (2016) Using social media to detect and locate wildfires, 1st International Workshop on Social Web for Environmental and Ecological Monitoring (SWEEM) at International Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2016), Cologne, Germany.
2015
- Thomas ZA, Kwasniok F, Boulton CA, Cox PM, Jones RT, Lenton TM, Turney CSM. (2015) Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions, DOI:10.5194/cpd-11-1313-2015. [PDF]
- Thomas ZA, Kwasniok F, Boulton CA, Cox PM, Jones RT, Lenton TM, Turney CSM. (2015) Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions, Climate of the Past, volume 11, no. 12, pages 1621-1633, DOI:10.5194/cp-11-1621-2015.
- Boulton CA, Lenton TM. (2015) Slowing down of North Pacific climate variability and its implications for abrupt ecosystem change, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, volume 112, no. 37, pages 11496-11501, DOI:10.1073/pnas.1501781112. [PDF]
2014
- Beckett SJ, Boulton CA, Williams HTP. (2014) FALCON: a software package for analysis of nestedness in bipartite networks, F1000Res, volume 3, DOI:10.12688/f1000research.4831.1. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Allison LC, Lenton TM. (2014) Early warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model, Nat Commun, volume 5, DOI:10.1038/ncomms6752. [PDF]
- Murphy JM, Booth BBB, Boulton CA, Clark RT, Harris GR, Lowe JA, Sexton DMH. (2014) Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations, Climate Dynamics, volume 43, no. 9-10, pages 2855-2885, DOI:10.1007/s00382-014-2097-5.
2013
- Booth BBB, Bernie D, McNeall D, Hawkins E, Caesar J, Boulton C, Friedlingstein P, Sexton DMH. (2013) Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models, EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS, volume 4, no. 1, pages 95-108, DOI:10.5194/esd-4-95-2013. [PDF]
- Boulton CA, Good P, Lenton TM. (2013) Early warning signals of simulated Amazon rainforest dieback, Theoretical Ecology, volume 6, no. 3, pages 373-384, DOI:10.1007/s12080-013-0191-7.
2012
- Booth BBB, Bernie D, McNeall D, Hawkins E, Caesar J, Boulton C, Friedlingstein P, Sexton D. (2012) Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission driven Global Climate Models, DOI:10.5194/esdd-3-1055-2012. [PDF]
