Dr Philip Sansom

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Phil Sansom's Publication Page Publications Working papers
  • P. G. Sansom, D. B. Williamson and D. B. Stephenson. "Understanding the predictability of climate indices using Bayesian state-space time-series models". Journal of Climate, in preparation.
In review
  • P. G. Sansom, D. B. Stephenson and T. J. Bracegirdle. "On constraining the discrepancy between multi-model climate projections and the actual climate using emergent relationships". Journal of the American Statistical Association, in revision. arXiv:1711.04139
  • P. G. Sansom, D. B. Williamson and D. B. Stephenson. "State space models for non-stationary intermittently coupled systems". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, in revision. arXiv:1711.04135
  • G. Kosec, G. Weaver, W. J. Carter and P. G. Sansom. "Prevalence of antibody sero-conversion against toxoplasmosis in dogs with and without uveitis". Journal of Small Animal Practice, in review.
In press
  • P. Maher, G. K. Vallis, M. J. Webb, S. C. Sherwood and P. G. Sansom (2018) "The impact of parameterized convection on precipitation climatology in global circulation models". Geophysical Research Letters.
2016
  • A. J. Hewitt, P. G. Sansom, B. B. B. Booth, C. D. Jones, E. S. Robertson, A. J. Wiltshire, D. B. Stephenson, S. Yip (2016) "Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle". Journal of Climate, Volume 29, Issue 20, pp 7203-7213. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0161.1
  • P. G. Sansom, C. A. T. Ferro, D. B. Stephenson, L. Goddard and S. J. Mason (2016) "Best Practices for Postprocessing Ensemble Climate Forecasts. Part I: Selecting Appropriate Recalibration Methods". Journal of Climate, Volume 29, Issue 20, pp 7247-7264. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0868.1
  • S. Siegert, P. G. Sansom and R. M. Williams (2016) "Parameter uncertainty in forecast recalibration". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Volume 142, pp 1213-1221. doi:10.1002/qj.2716
  • S. Siegert, D. B. Stephenson, P. G. Sansom, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade and A. Arribas (2016) "A Bayesian Framework for Verification and Recalibration of Ensemble Forecasts: How Uncertain is NAO Predictability?". Journal of Climate, Volume 29, Issue 3, pp 995-1012. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0196.1
2013
  • P. G. Sansom, V. R. Copley, F. C. Naik, S. Leach and I. M. Hall (2013) "A case-association cluster detection and visualisation tool with an application to Legionnaires' disease". Statistics in Medicine, Volume 32, Issue 20, pp 3522-3538. doi:10.1002/sim.5765
  • G. Zappa, L. C. Shaffrey, K. I. Hodges, P. G. Sansom and D. B. Stephenson (2013) "A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models". Journal of Climate, Volume 26, Issue 16, pp 5846-5862. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00573.1
  • P. G. Sansom, D. B. Stephenson, C. A. T. Ferro, G. Zappa and L. Shaffrey (2013) "Simple Uncertainty Frameworks for Selecting Weighting Schemes and Interpreting Multimodel Ensemble Climate Change Experiments". Journal of Climate, Volume 26, Issue 12, pp 4017-4037. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00462.1
2009
  • E. Bennett, J. Clement, P. G. Sansom, I. Hall, S. Leach and J. M. Medlock (2009) "Environmental and ecological potential for enzootic cycles of Puumala hantavirus in Great Britain". Epidemiology and Infection, Volume 138, Issue 01, pp 91-98. doi:10.1017/S095026880999029X