Photo of Dr Christopher Ferro

Dr Christopher Ferro

Senior Lecturer in Statistics


Telephone: 01392 724050

Extension: (Streatham) 4050

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Assessing the performance of predictions such as weather forecasts or medical diagnoses helps forecasters to improve their predictions and helps recipients to decide how to respond to predictions. My research aims to improve how predictions are assessed. The statistical tools that I develop are applicable to many phenomena but my main interests are in weather forecasting and climate prediction. I am particularly interested in developing ways to answer the following questions.

  • How good are predictions of climate change?
  • How good are predictions of extreme events?
  • How will changing a prediction system affect its performance?

If you are interested in doing a PhD in this area then please contact me.


I received my PhD in Statistics from Lancaster University and worked for four years in the Department of Meteorology at the University of Reading before joining Exeter in 2007. I held a research fellowship with the National Centre for Atmospheric Science from 2004 to 2008. I am a Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society and an Associate Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society.