Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms

TEMPEST is a 3-year research project that is part of the NERC Storm Risk Mitigation directed programme and involves the Universities of Reading, Oxford and Exeter. TEMPEST will provide an improved understanding of how climate change and natural variability will affect the generation and evolution of extra-tropical cyclones.

The Exeter research team will contribute to understanding trends in extra-tropical cyclones having high societal impact due to either extreme low-level wind speeds or extreme precipitation amounts.  A novel aspect of this project is the study of trends in extra-tropical extremes in the warm season (summer) and in the transitional seasons (spring and autumn), to which little scientific attention has been devoted.

Extra-tropical cyclones in transitional periods can have large impacts. Some of the most intense windstorms have occurred in the transitional season, like the Great Storm of October 1987, where hurricane-force winds battered France and southern UK, or the Burchardi Flood on the night between the 11 and 12 October 1634, a storm surge that cost many thousands of lives (8,000 to 15,000 people) in Germany and Denmark.

Project Summary

Project duration
 01/01/2011 - 31/12/2013
Funding body
Project partners
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Contact/Further Information: Renato Vitolo