Climate dynamics

Our research centres on modelling of the climate system, and quantifying and reducing uncertainties in climate projections. This group has very strong links to the Met Office including two jointly-funded chairs, and a common goal to maximise the pull-through of mathematics and statistics into the improvement of climate models.

Expertise in the group spans the understanding and modelling of most of the major uncertainties in the response of the climate system to anthropogenic forcing:

  • clouds and water vapour
  • carbon cycle
  • aerosols 
  • sea-ice 
  • land-surface 
  • stratosphere 

In addition, this group is committed to quantifying and reducing the overall uncertainties in climate projections through:

  • probabilistic climate projections 
  • statistical emulation methods 
  • data-assimilation 
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