Overview

Tim is a Senior Lecturer in Applied Mathematics.  He is currently Admissions Tutor for Mathematics.

Tim joined the University of Exeter in September 2007. Prior to his appointment at Exeter University he has worked a researcher at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology and at the BP Institute for multiphase flow, University of Cambridge.  Tim’s research focuses on applying mathematical and statistical techniques to climate-related questions. His current work is on data assimilation in the terrestrial carbon cycle; cointegration (time series analysis); land-atmosphere interactions diagnosed from satellite observations; feedbacks in the climate system; and Maximum Entropy Production ("MEP") in planetary atmospheres. In his spare time Tim enjoys sailing and playing the trombone.

Membership of professional bodies

Member of American Geophysical Union

Nationality 

British

Administrative responsibilities 

Admissions Tutor for Mathematics

Qualifications 

MA (Cantab)

Certificate of Advanced Study in Mathematics (Cantab)

PhD (Cantab)

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Publications

_{Copyright Notice: Any articles made available for download are for personal use only. Any other use requires prior permission of the author and the copyright holder.}

| 2023 | 2016 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2000 |

2023

• Raoult N, Jupp T, Booth B, Cox P. (2023) Combining local model calibration with the emergent constraint approach to reduce uncertainty in the tropical land carbon cycle feedback, Earth System Dynamics, volume 14, no. 4, pages 723-731, DOI:10.5194/esd-14-723-2023. [PDF]
• Raoult N, Jupp T, Booth B, Cox P. (2023) Combining local model calibration with the emergent constraint approach to reduce uncertainty in the tropical land carbon cycle feedback, DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-274. [PDF]

2016

• Raoult NM, Jupp TE, Cox PM, Luke CM. (2016) Land surface parameter optimisation through data assimilation: the adJULES system, DOI:10.5194/gmd-2015-281. [PDF]
• Raoult NM, Jupp TE, Cox PM, Luke CM. (2016) Land-surface parameter optimisation using data assimilation techniques: The adJULES system V1.0, Geoscientific Model Development, volume 9, no. 8, pages 2833-2852, DOI:10.5194/gmd-9-2833-2016.

2014

• Lowe R, Barcellos C, Coelho CAS, Bailey TC, Coelho GE, Graham R, Jupp T, Ramalho WM, Carvalho MS, Stephenson DB. (2014) Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: An early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts, The Lancet Infectious Diseases, volume 14, no. 7, pages 619-626, DOI:10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70781-9.

2013

• Lowe R, Bailey TC, Stephenson DB, Jupp TE, Graham RJ, Barcellos C, Carvalho MS. (2013) The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil, Statistics in Medicine, volume 32, no. 5, pages 864-883, DOI:10.1002/sim.5549.

2012

• Ferro CAT, Jupp TE, Lambert FH, Huntingford C, Cox PM. (2012) Model complexity versus ensemble size: allocating resources for climate prediction, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, volume 370, pages 1087-1099, DOI:10.1098/rsta.2011.0307. [PDF]

2011

• Jupp TE, Lowe R, Coelho CAS, Stephenson DB. (2011) On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, DOI:10.48550/arxiv.1103.1303.
• Jupp TE, Lowe R, Coelho CAS, Stephenson DB. (2011) On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts. [PDF]

2010

• Jupp TE, Cox PM, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Lucht W, Cramer W. (2010) Development of probability density functions for future South American rainfall, New Phytol, volume 187, no. 3, pages 682-693, DOI:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03368.x. [PDF]
• Rammig A, Jupp T, Thonicke K, Tietjen B, Heinke J, Ostberg S, Lucht W, Cramer W, Cox P. (2010) Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback, New Phytol, volume 187, no. 3, pages 694-706, DOI:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03318.x. [PDF]
• Jupp TE, Cox PM. (2010) MEP and planetary climates: insights from a two-box climate model containing atmospheric dynamics, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, volume 365, no. 1545, pages 1355-1365, DOI:10.1098/rstb.2009.0297. [PDF]

2008

• Cox PM, Harris PP, Huntingford C, Betts RA, Collins M, Jones CD, Jupp TE, Marengo JA, Nobre CA. (2008) Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution, Nature, volume 453, no. 7192, pages 212-215, DOI:10.1038/nature06960. [PDF]
• Cox PM, Harris PP, Huntingford C, Betts RA, Collins M, Jones CD, Jupp TE, Marengo JA, Nobre CA. (2008) Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution, Nature, volume 453, pages 212-216. [PDF]

2006

• Jupp TE, Twiss SD. (2006) A physically motivated index of subgrid-scale pattern, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, volume 111, no. 19, DOI:10.1029/2006JD007343.
• Jupp TE, Twiss SD. (2006) A physically motivated index of subgrid-scale pattern, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, volume 111, no. D19, article no. ARTN D19112, DOI:10.1029/2006JD007343. [PDF]
• Jupp TE, Taylor CM, Balzter H, George CT. (2006) A statistical model linking Siberian forest fire scars with early summer rainfall anomalies, Geophysical Research Letters, volume 33, no. 14, DOI:10.1029/2006GL026679.

2005

• Balzter H, Gerard FF, George CT, Rowland CS, Jupp TE, McCallum I, Shvidenko A, Nilsson S, Sukhinin A, Onuchin A. (2005) Impact of the Arctic Oscillation pattern on interannual forest fire variability in Central Siberia, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, volume 32, no. 14. [PDF]

2004

• Jupp TE, Schultz A. (2004) Physical balances in subseafloor hydrothermal convection cells, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, volume 109, no. 5, DOI:10.1029/2003JB002697.
• Jupp TE, Pyle DM, Mason BG, Dade WB. (2004) A statistical model for the timing of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions influenced by periodic processes, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, volume 109, no. 2.
• Jupp TE, Schultz A. (2004) A poroelastic model for the tidal modulation of seafloor hydrothermal systems, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, volume 109, no. 3.
• Jupp TE, Schultz A. (2004) A poroelastic model for the tidal modulation of seafloor hydrothermal systems, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, volume 109, no. B3, article no. ARTN B03105, DOI:10.1029/2003JB002583. [PDF]
• Jupp TE, Schultz A. (2004) Physical balances in subseafloor hydrothermal convection cells, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, volume 109, no. B5, article no. ARTN B05101, DOI:10.1029/2003JB002697. [PDF]
• Mason BG, Pyle DM, Dade WB, Jupp TE. (2004) Seasonality of volcanic eruptions, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, volume 109. [PDF]
• Jupp TE, Woods AW. (2004) Reaction fronts in a porous medium following injection along a temperature gradient, JOURNAL OF FLUID MECHANICS, volume 513, pages 343-361, DOI:10.1017/S0022112004000199. [PDF]
• Jupp TE, Pyle DM, Mason BG, Dade WB. (2004) A statistical model for the timing of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions influenced by periodic processes, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, volume 109, no. B2, article no. ARTN B02206, DOI:10.1029/2003JB002584. [PDF]
• TEJupp, Woods AW. (2004) Reaction fronts in a porous medium following injection along a temperature gradient, Journal of Fluid Mechanics, volume 513, pages 343-361, DOI:10.1017/S0022112004000199.

2003

• Jupp TE, Woods AW. (2003) Thermally driven reaction fronts in porous media, JOURNAL OF FLUID MECHANICS, volume 484, pages 329-346, DOI:10.1017/S0022112003004348. [PDF]
• TEJupp, Woods AW. (2003) Thermally driven reaction fronts in porous media, Journal of Fluid Mechanics, volume 484, pages 329-346, DOI:10.1017/S0022112003004348.

2000

• Jupp T, Schultz A. (2000) A thermodynamic explanation for black smoker temperatures, Nature, volume 403, no. 6772, pages 880-883, DOI:10.1038/35002552. [PDF]

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