Mathematics and Statistics

Photo of Prof Peter Cox

Prof Peter Cox

Professor, Director of Global Systems Institute

 P.M.Cox@exeter.ac.uk

 (Streatham) 5220 or (Streatham) 2223

 01392 725220 or 01392 722223

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Overview

Professor of Climate System Dynamics in Mathematics at the University of Exeter (since 2006), having previously worked at the Met Office-Hadley Centre (1990-2004) and the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (2004-2006). A lead-author on the last three Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR4, AR5, AR6), and a highly-cited author in Geosciences. 

PhD Opportunitities

Offering to supervise self-funded PhD studentships in the areas of:

  • Interactions and feedbacks between the and-surface and climate
  • Dynamic Global Vegetation Modelling
  • Emergent constraints on climate-carbon cycle feedbacks 

Opportunities for funded studentships are described here: http://www.exeter.ac.uk/pg-research/money/

University Roles

External Roles

Current research interests

  • Emergent Constraints on Earth System Sensitivities (ECCLES ERC project).
  • Theoretical relationships between climate variability and climate sensitivity (ECCLES ERC project)
  • Vegetation Dynamics and Demography (developing the RED model)
  • Improving the representation of land-surafce processes in JULES (e.g. SOX model).

Publications and citations

Associated Postdocs

Associated PhD students

  • Arthur Argles (Vegetation Demography and Disturbance - College/Met Office studentship).
  • Simon Jones (Non-structural carbohydrates in JULES - Anna Harper's student).
  • Rebecca Millington (Biodiversity and Ecosystem Resilience - QUEX studentship).
  • Femke Nijsse (Theroretical Basis for Emergent Constraints - ERC ECCLES project).
  • Becky Varney (Emergent Constraints on the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle - ERC ECCLES project).
  • Joe Clarke (Rate-dependent Tipping Points - ERC ECCLES project).

Working groups, committees and wider recognition

  • Lead-author on the IPCC  AR4, AR5 and AR6 reports.
  • Member of the REF2014 panel for UoA7 (2011-2014).
  • Member of the NERC Science Board (2014-2017).
  • Highly-cited author 2014 - 2019.
  • Winner of Royal Met Soc Adrian Gill Award 2007

TV coverage

 

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Publications

Copyright Notice: Any articles made available for download are for personal use only. Any other use requires prior permission of the author and the copyright holder.

| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1990 |

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2023

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2012

2011

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2009

2008

2007

  • Mercado LM, Huntingford C, Gash JHC, Cox PM, Jogireddy V. (2007) Improving the representation of radiation interception and photosynthesis for climate model applications, Tellus B, volume 59, no. 3, DOI:10.3402/tellusb.v59i3.17035.
  • Gash J, Cox P. (2007) Amazon: The beginning of the end?, Planet Earth, no. SPRING 2007, pages 12-13.
  • Cox P. (2007) An overview of the climate change challenge, Environmental Law and Management, volume 19, no. 5, pages 200-205.
  • Cowling SA, Betts RA, Cox PM, Ettwein VJ, Jones CD, Maslin MA, Spall SA. (2007) Modelling the past and the future fate of the Amazonian forest, Tropical Forests and Global Atmospheric Change, DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198567066.003.0016.
  • Cox P, Stephenson D. (2007) Climate change. A changing climate for prediction, Science, volume 317, no. 5835, pages 207-208, DOI:10.1126/science.1145956. [PDF]
  • Denman KL, Brasseur G, Chidthaisong P, Ciais P, Cox PM, Dickinson RE, Hauglustaine D, Heinze C, Holland E, Jacob D. (2007) Couplings Between Changes in the Climate System and Biogeochemistry, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press.
  • Hibbard KA, Meehl GA, Cox PM, Friedlingstein P. (2007) A Strategy for Climate Change Stabilization Experiments, Eos Trans. AGU, volume 88, pages 217-217. [PDF]
  • Mercado LM, Huntingford C, Gash JHC, Cox PM, Jogireddy V. (2007) Improving the representation of radiation interception and photosynthesis for climate model applications, TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY, volume 59, no. 3, pages 553-565, DOI:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00256.x. [PDF]
  • Cowling SA, Jones CD, Cox PM. (2007) Consequences of the evolution of C-4 photosynthesis for surface energy and water exchange, . J. Geophys. Res. � Biogeosci, volume 112.
  • Sitch S, Cox PM, Collins W, Huntingford C. (2007) Indirect radiative forcing of climate change through ozone effects on the land-carbon sink, Nature, volume 448, no. 7155, pages 791-794, DOI:10.1038/nature06059.
  • Cox PM, Stephenson DB. (2007) A changing climate for prediction, Science, volume 317, pages 207-208. [PDF]
  • Betts RA, Boucher O, Collins M, Cox PM, Falloon P, Gedney N, Hemming D, Huntingford C, Jones CD, Sexton D. (2007) Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide, Nature, volume 448, pages 1037-1041. [PDF]

2006

  • Jones CD, Cox PM, Huntingford C. (2006) Climate-carbon cycle feedbacks under stabilization: uncertainty and observational constraints, Tellus B, volume 58, no. 5, DOI:10.3402/tellusb.v58i5.17017.
  • Toniazzo T, Lenton TM, Cox PM, Gregory J. (2006) 17 Entropy and Gaia: Is There a Link Between MEP and Self-Regulation in the Climate System?, Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics and the Production of Entropy, Springer Nature, 223-241, DOI:10.1007/11672906_17.
  • Meir P, Cox P, Grace J. (2006) The influence of terrestrial ecosystems on climate, TRENDS ECOL EVOL, volume 21, no. 5, pages 254-260, DOI:10.1016/i.tree.2006.03.005.
  • Cox PM, Huntingford C, Jones CD. (2006) Conditions for sink-to-source transitions and runaway feedbacks from the land carbon cycle, Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, 155-162.
  • Los SO, Weedon GP, North PRJ, Kaduk JD, Taylor CM, Cox PM. (2006) An observation-based estimate of the strength of rainfall-vegetation interactions in the Sahel, Geophys. Res. Lett, volume 33. [PDF]
  • Scheffer M, Brovkin V, Cox PM. (2006) Positive feedback between global warming and atmospheric CO2 inferred from past climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett, volume 33. [PDF]
  • Jones CD, Cox PM, Huntingford C. (2006) Climate-carbon cycle feedbacks under stabilization: uncertainty and observational constraints, Tellus B, volume 58, pages 603-613. [PDF]
  • Meir P, Cox PM, J.Grace. (2006) The influence of terrestrial ecosystems on climate, Trends in Ecology and Evolution, volume 21, pages 254-260. [PDF]
  • Koster RD, Guo ZC, Dirmeyer PA, Bonan G, Chan E, Cox PE. (2006) GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part I: Overview, . J. Hydromet, volume 7, pages 590-610.
  • Jones CD, Cox PM, Huntingford. (2006) Impact of climate-carbon cycle feedbacks on emissions scenarios to achieve stabilisation, Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, 323-332. [PDF]
  • Gedney N, Cox PM, Betts RA, Boucher O, Huntingford C, Stott PA. (2006) Continental runoff - A quality-controlled global runoff data set - Reply, NATURE, volume 444, no. 7120, pages E14-E15, DOI:10.1038/nature05481. [PDF]
  • Guo ZC, Dirmeyer PA, Koster RD, Bonan G, Chan E, Cox P, et A. (2006) GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part II: Analysis, J. Hydromet, volume 7, pages 611-625.
  • Friedlingstein P, Cox P, Betts R, Bopp L, Von BW, Brovkin V, Cadule P, Doney S, Eby M, Fung I. (2006) Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the (CMIP)-M-4 model intercomparison, J CLIMATE, volume 19, no. 14, pages 3337-3353.
  • Gedney N, Cox PM, Betts RA, Boucher O, Huntingford C, Stott PA. (2006) Detection of a direct carbon dioxide effect in continental river runoff records, Nature, volume 439, no. 7078, pages 835-838, DOI:10.1038/nature04504.

2005

  • Jones C, Gregory J, Thorpe R, Cox P, Murphy J, Sexton D, Valdes P. (2005) Systematic optimisation and climate simulation of FAMOUS, a fast version of HadCM3, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, volume 25, no. 2-3, pages 189-204, DOI:10.1007/s00382-005-0027-2. [PDF]
  • Crucifix M, Betts RA, Cox PM. (2005) Vegetation and climate variability: a GCM modelling study, Climate Dynamics, volume 24, pages 457-467.
  • Andreae MO, Jones CJ, Cox PM. (2005) Strong present-day aerosol cooling implies a hot future, Nature, volume 435, no. 7046, pages 1187-1190, DOI:10.1038/nature03671.
  • Jones CD, Cox PM. (2005) On the significance of atmospheric CO2 growth rate anomalies in 2002�2003, Geophys. Res. Lett, volume 32. [PDF]
  • Best MJ, Cox PM, Warrilow D. (2005) Determining the optimal soil temperature scheme for atmospheric model applications, Boundary Layer Met, volume 114, pages 111-142.

2004

  • Claussen M, Cox PM, Zeng X, Viterbo P, Beljaars ACM, Betts RA, Bolle H-J, Chase T, Koster R. (2004) The Global Climate, Vegetation, Water, Humans and the Climate, Springer Nature, 33-57, DOI:10.1007/978-3-642-18948-7_5.
  • Jones CD, Cox PM. (2004) Constraints on the temperature sensitivity of global soil respiration from the observed interannual variability in atmospheric CO2, Atmospheric Science Letters, volume 2, no. 1‐4, pages 166-172, DOI:10.1006/asle.2001.0044.
  • Powlson D, Cox P, Jones C, Betts R. (2004) Bellamy blast [1], New Scientist, volume 182, no. 2451.
  • Rial JA, Pielke RA, Beniston M, Claussen M, Canadell J, Cox P, Held H, De Noblet-Ducoudré N, Prinn R, Reynolds JF. (2004) Nonlinearities, feedbacks and critical thresholds within the Earth's climate system, CLIMATIC CHANGE, volume 65, no. 1-2, pages 11-38, DOI:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000037493.89489.3f. [PDF]
  • Koster RD, Dirmeyer PA, Guo ZC, Bonan G, Chan E, Cox P, al E. (2004) Regions or strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation, Science, volume 305, pages 1138-1140.
  • Toniazzo T, Lenton T, Cox PM, Gregory J. (2004) Entropy and Gaia: is there a link between MEP and self-regulation in the climate system?, Non-equilibrium thermodynamics and the production of entropy, Springer, 223-241.
  • Cox PM, Nakicenovic N. (2004) Assessing and simulating the altered functioning of the Earth System in the Anthropocene, Earth System Analysis for Environmental Sustainability, MIT & Dahlem University Press, 293-311.
  • Harris,P.P,Huntingford,C., Gash JHC, Hodnett M, Cox PM, Malhi Y, Araujo AC. (2004) Calibration of a land-surface model using data from primary forest sites in Amazonia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, volume 78, pages 27-45.
  • Jones C, McConnell C, Coleman K, Cox P, Falloon P, Jenkinson D, Powlson D. (2004) Global climate change and soil carbon stocks; predictions from two contrasting models for the turnover of organic carbon in soil, Global Change Biology, volume 11, pages 154-166. [PDF]
  • Huntingford C, Harris PP, Gedney N, Cox PM, Betts RA, Marengo JA, Gash JHC. (2004) Using a GCM analogue model to investigate the potential for Amazonian forest dieback, THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, volume 78, no. 1-3, pages 177-185, DOI:10.1007/s00704-004-0051-x. [PDF]
  • Canadell J, Ciais P, Cox P, Heimann M. (2004) Quantifying terrestrial carbon sinks � Preface, Climatic Change, volume 67, pages 145-146.
  • Betts RA, Cox PM, Collins M, Harris PP, Huntingford C, Jones CD. (2004) The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming, THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, volume 78, no. 1-3, pages 157-175, DOI:10.1007/s00704-004-0050-y. [PDF]
  • Steffen W, Andreae MO, Cox PM, Crutzen PJ, Cubasch U, Held H, Nakicenovic N, Talaue-McManus L, Turner BL. (2004) Group Report: Earth System dynamics in the Anthropocene, Earth System Analysis for Sustainability, MIT & Dahlem University Press, 313-340.
  • Cowling SA, Betts RA, Cox PM, Ettwein VJ, Jones CD, Maslin MA, Spall SA. (2004) Contrasting simulated past and future responses of the Amazonian forest to atmospheric change, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, volume 359, no. 1443, pages 539-547, DOI:10.1098/rstb.2003.1427. [PDF]
  • Gedney N, Cox PM, Huntingford C. (2004) Climate feedback from wetland methane emissions, Geophys. Res. Lett, volume 31. [PDF]
  • Gash,J.H.C,Huntingford,C., Morengo JA, Betts RA, Cox PM, Fisch G, Fu R, Gandu AW, Harris PP, Machado LAT, von R. (2004) Amazonian Climate: Results and future research, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, volume 78, pages 187-193.
  • Canadell J, Ciais P, Cox P, Heimann M. (2004) Quantifying, understanding and managing the carbon cycle in the next decades, Climatic Change, volume 67, pages 147-160.
  • Steffen W, Andreae MO, Bolin B, Cox PM, Crutzen PJ, Cubasch U, Held H, Nakicenovic N, Scholes RJ, Talaue-McManus L. (2004) Abrupt changes: The Achilles' heels of the Earth System, ENVIRONMENT, volume 46, no. 3, pages 8-20, DOI:10.1080/00139150409604375. [PDF]
  • Cox PM, Betts RA, Collins M, Harris PP. (2004) Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, volume 78, no. 1-3, pages 137-156, DOI:10.1007/s00704-004-0049-4.

2003

2002

  • Koster KD, Dirmeyer PA, Hahmann AN, Ijpelaar R, Tyahla L, Cox P, Suarez MJ. (2002) Comparing the degree of land-atmosphere interaction in four atmospheric General Circulation Models, J. Hydromet, volume 3, pages 363-375.

2001

  • Jones CD, Cox PM. (2001) Constraints on the temperature sensitivity of global soil respiration from the observed interannual variability in atmospheric CO2, ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, volume 2, no. 1-4, pages 166-172, DOI:10.1006/asle.2001.0041. [PDF]
  • Slater AG, Schlosser CA, Desborough CE, Pitman AJ, Henderson-Sellers A, Robock A, Vinnikov KY, Mitchell K, Boone A, Braden H. (2001) The representation of snow in land surface schemes: Results from PILPS 2(d), J HYDROMETEOROL, volume 2, no. 1, pages 7-25.
  • Cramer W, Bondeau A, Woodward FI, Prentice IC, Betts RA, Brovkin V, Cox PM, Fisher V, Foley JA, Friend AD. (2001) Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: Results from six dynamic global vegetation models, Global Change Biology, volume 7, no. 4, pages 357-373, DOI:10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00383.x.
  • Cox PM, Betts RA, Jones CD, Spall SA, Totterdell IJ. (2001) Modelling vegetation and the carbon cycle as interactive elements of the climate system, Meteorology at the Millennium, Academic Press, 259-279.
  • Jones CD, Collins M, Cox PM, Spall SA. (2001) The carbon cycle response to ENSO: a coupled climate-carbon cycle model study, Journal of Climate, volume 14, pages 4113-4129.
  • Jones CD, Cox PM. (2001) Modelling the volcanic signal in the atmospheric CO2 record, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, volume 15, no. 2, pages 453-466.

2000

1999

  • Cox PM, Betts RA, Bunton CB, RLH E, Rowntree PR, Smith J. (1999) The impact of new land surface physics on the GCM simulation of climate and climate sensitivity, CLIM DYNAM, volume 15, no. 3, pages 183-203.

1998

  • Cox PM, Huntingford C, Harding RJ. (1998) A canopy conductance and photosynthesis model for use in a GCM land surface scheme, Journal of Hydrology, volume 212-213, pages 79-94.

1997

  • Cox P, Fisher PJ, Anderson JM. (1997) Experiments in fungal survival of two common pine litter colonisers, Mycologist, volume 11, no. 2, pages 55-59, DOI:10.1016/s0269-915x(97)80034-1. [PDF]
  • Huntingford C, Cox PM. (1997) Use of statistical and neural network techniques to detect how stomatal conductance responds to changes in the local environment, Ecological Modelling, volume 97, pages 217-246.
  • Betts RA, Cox PM, Lee SE, Woodward FI. (1997) Contrasting physiological and structural vegetation feedbacks in climate change simulations, Nature, volume 387, pages 796-799. [PDF]

1996

1995

  • Christensen TR, Cox P. (1995) Response of methane emission from arctic tundra to climatic change: results from a model simulation, Tellus B, volume 47, no. 3, DOI:10.3402/tellusb.v47i3.16049.
  • Christensen TR, Cox P. (1995) Response of methane emission from arctic tundra to climatic change: results from a model simulation, Tellus, Series B, volume 47 B, no. 3, pages 301-309.
  • Friend AD, Cox PM. (1995) Modelling the effects of atmospheric CO2 on vegetation-atmosphere interactions, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, volume 73, pages 285-295.
  • Christensen TR, Cox PM. (1995) Response of methane emission from Arctic tundra to climate change: results from a model simulation, Tellus, volume 47B, pages 301-309.

1990

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